Tesis doctorales: TESEO

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Ministerio de Universidades - Gobierno de España

Título: HOUSING AND FAMILY DYNAMICS IN SOUTHERN EUROPE
Autor: Botelho Azevedo, Alda
Universidad: Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona
Departamento: Geografia
Fecha de Lectura: 12/12/2016
Mención Europeo / Mención Internacional: Concedido
Programa de doctorado: Programa Oficial de Doctorado en Demografía
Dirección:
- Módenes Cabrerizo, Juan Antonio (DIRECTOR)
- LÓPEZ COLÁS, JULIÁN (CODIRECTOR)
Tribunal:
- Leal Maldonaado, Jesús (PRESIDENTE)
- MIRET GAMUNDI, PAU (SECRETARIO)
- Poggio, Teresio (VOCAL)
Descriptores:
- DEMOGRAFIA GEOGRAFICA
Localización: BIBLIOTECA DE COMUNICACIÓN Y HEMEROTECA GENERAL DE LA UAB

297015_894430.pdf

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Resumen:
During the second half of the twentieth century, housing preferences towards homeownership converged in the majority of European countries. By the turn of the millennium, homeownership was the foremost housing tenure in the southern European countries. In view of that, this thesis aims to enlarge the knowledge on the interrelationship between housing tenure, household formation and fertility in the beginning of the twenty-first century. Focusing on the southern European housing system, this thesis performs a comparative analysis guided by three objectives: (1) to explore the distinctive feature of the southern European housing system regarding homeownership and household formation patterns; (2) to explain the recent evolution of housing tenure distribution accounting for individual and contextual factors; and (3) to analyse the role of housing tenure status in fertility. To explore the distinctive feature of the southern European housing system in the beginning of the twenty-first century, this thesis uses the European Union Statistics of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) data to test the cohesiveness of the southern European group through a cluster analysis. Additionally, estimating binary logistic regression models, this thesis highlights the significance of heterogeneous patterns within the southern European group. Furthermore, the assumption that the homeownership rates in southern Europe are high is challenged using renewed measures of tenure rates that take the level of household formation into account. Besides, to explore the distinctive feature of the southern European housing system regarding household formation patterns, by means of alternative-specific multinomial probit regression models, this thesis provides innovative findings on the housing decisions of active young adults in southern Europe and in other three European countries representing different welfare state regimes (France, Germany and the UK). To explain the recent evolution of housing tenure distribution in Spain, this research addresses the current increase in renting preference using the micro-data of the Spanish census (2001 and 2011). Estimating multilevel logistic regression models, this study accounts for both individual and contextual factors highlighting the role of housing prices stability in the likelihood of be tenant and the influence of the internal geographic heterogeneity on individual housing choices. At the individual level, between 2001 and 2011, there is a convergence process towards a greater acceptance of renting regardless the citizenship, the type of partnership, and the educational attainment of the young couple. Yet, over this time the individual heterogeneity became wider in the case of age and the degree of urbanisation. Although with different signals, both process lean towards an upsurge of renting at the early stages of life in couple. Additionally, this research provides insights on how economic cycles and housing booms and busts impact over housing behaviour. To analyse the role of housing tenure status in fertility, this thesis first studies the Spanish case using the Spanish Survey of Household Finances (2008) and estimating probit regression models for three time frames. The results show that the relationship between homeownership and fertility is becoming increasingly problematic. Second, using the Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey (2008-2011), this thesis compares the southern European countries among themselves and with two European countries with dissimilar fertility rates and housing systems (France and Germany). Through probit regression models and parametric frailty models, is revealed that the strong positive relationship between homeownership and having a first-child birth is not a southern European exception and that in Spain, France and Greece, to be homeowner lowers the time ratio to the birth of the first-child. Doing justice to the dynamic feature of housing systems, there are strong reasons to believe that the southern European housing system is under changes. This thesis explores those signs of change with regards to their impact on the known features of the southern European housing system by looking at it from different standpoints (micro and macro level) and by emphasizing housing tenure status both as an outcome and as a determinant of an event.

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